Don't think so, the bet is "Are the Irish "crisis scared" enough to give in?". Think, at the same time it's the game, can we seize this crisis as an opportunity to have them re-vote, hoping that at a time of crisis, the People may see the "yes" as the price to pay to have an EU umbrella should things worsen even if the umbrella won't work if really things worsen.... have I guessed.